F1MG Azerbaijan GP 2023 S.2 E.4

Welcome back to Baku and another episode with the F1MG( F1 Money Gang). We have a new guest joining us today, and  of course our best bets and leans for the upcoming Baku GP.

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## Introduction

- The hosts of the F1 Money Gang podcast are excited for the upcoming Azerbaijan Grand Prix, despite the new sprint race format.
- They introduce a new guest, a longtime Discord contributor and betting expert, who will share his best bet for the race.

## Guest's Best Bet

- The guest recommends a bet on Max Verstappen to win the race and achieve the fastest lap, with odds of 7 to 5.
- He believes Red Bull will be dominant on this power-based track, similar to the Australian GP.

## Track Characteristics

- The Baku City Circuit is a street circuit known for its long straights and tight corners, making it a challenging track for drivers.
- Tire degradation is expected to be low due to the smooth track surface.

## New Sprint Race Format

- The hosts discuss the new sprint race format, which will be used for the first time this weekend.
- They express concerns about the lack of data available for betting due to the reduced practice sessions.

## Discord Community

- The F1 Money Gang Discord community has grown to nearly a thousand members, providing a platform for members to share betting ideas and strategies.

## Best Bets from the Hosts

- **Cap:** Alpine to finish in the top 10, based on their strong recent performance and Gasly's history at Baku.
- **Mac:** A reverse forecast bet on Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez to finish one-two, with odds of +185.
- **Lights:** Alonso to finish above 3.0 in qualifying and Leclerc to finish under 5.5 in qualifying, based on their qualifying trends this season.

## Additional Betting Insights

- **Cap:** Mercedes may be a good value bet, given their recent improvements and Ferrari's struggles.
- **Chris:** A bet on the winning margin for the race being over 10 seconds is worth considering, given Max Verstappen's dominance.
- **Lights:** There may be value in betting on the number of safety cars and virtual safety cars, as well as the number of classified finishers.

## Top Three Predictions

- The hosts make their predictions for the top three finishers in the race, with varying and somewhat humorous choices.

## Yuki Tsunoda's Potential

- The hosts discuss the possibility of Yuki Tsunoda finishing in the top 10, given his improved performance in recent races and the potential for chaos in the sprint race format.

## Renegade's Top 10 Bet

- The hosts highlight Renegade's bet on Yuki Tsunoda to finish in the top 10, with odds of +250, as a potential value bet.



## Race Predictions

- Max Verstappen is the favorite to win the race, with George Russell and Lewis Hamilton as potential podium finishers.
- One of the Ferraris is predicted to have a DNF, with Carlos Sainz being the most likely candidate.
- Fernando Alonso and Aston Martin are expected to underperform due to the car's draggy nature and poor DRS effectiveness on Baku's long straights.
- Mercedes is seen to have an advantage in DRS effectiveness, which could benefit them in Baku.

## Discord Updates

- Grid Rivals lineups, DraftKings lineups, and the community bet will be shared in the Discord server.
- Listeners are encouraged to join the Discord and participate in discussions and betting strategies.

## Conclusion

- The hosts express their gratitude to Underdog for sponsoring the podcast and wish listeners a successful Baku Grand Prix.